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In a world of increasing uncertainty and complexity Judgement and Choice will be of great value to all decision makers--in commerce, government service, medicine or any other professional activity. Contents Preface; * The nature of human judgement;* Randomness and the probabilistic environment;* Combining information for prediction;* Combining information for evaluation and choice;* Choice under uncertainty;* On learning relations;* The role of memory in judgement;* Creativity, imagination, and choice;* Problem structuring and decision aids;* Human judgement--an overview; Appendices; Index Reviews of the First Edition '...I believe that Professor Hogarth's book will prove to be of historical importance in the development of the field of human judgement.' R.M. Corbin, Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 1. 1982. '...Hogarth has given us a clear, integrated treatment of the major issues in the field and has managed to convey both the excitement of the work itself and the direct practical implications of the findings.' Terry Connolly, ASQ, June 1982.